Putin's back to the future It is becoming
increasingly dangerous to be a critic of Vladimir Putin, the elected
dictator of Russia. That is, as KGB thugs like Putin used to say during
the Soviet era, “no accident, comrade.”
The most recent authority on the subject of Putin’s
increasingly ominous behavior at home and abroad to have met an
unpleasant fate is Paul Joyal. He is an internationally renowned expert
on the former Soviet Union who had the temerity last week to accuse the
Russian government on the NBC TV program “Dateline” of murdering
Alexander Litvinenko. Litvinenko was himself a former Soviet intelligence agent who worked
with and then turned against Putin. He had blamed the Putin regime for
killing another Putin critic, the courageous Russian journalist, Anna
Politkovskaya, in Moscow last year. Litvinenko wound up dead in London
from poisoning with an exotic, highly radioactive element called
Polonium 210 widely believed to have come from Russia. Of the Litvinenko murder, Joyal told “Dateline”: “A message
has been communicated to anyone who wants to speak out against the
Kremlin: ‘If you do, no matter who you are, where you are, we will find
you, and we will silence you – in the most horrible way possible.’” His
words appear to have been eerily prophetic. On Thursday, two unidentified men attacked Joyal in the
driveway of his home, in a way seemingly meant to send its own message:
By shooting him once in the groin. Thanks to quick action by his wife,
a nurse, he did not bleed to death on the spot and is recovering from
his wound. Joyal did not live in Moscow, or even some other foreign
capital. His home is in Adelphi, Maryland, a quiet suburban community
roughly 12 miles outside Washington, D.C.
The Kremlin’s apparent willingness brazenly now to strike at
its foes wherever they may be is all too reminiscent of past, ruthless
measures taken by Russian and Soviet rulers to crush internal and
external dissent. Unfortunately, it is but one piece of the reprise
Vladimir Putin seems to have in mind for his country.
For example, as he systematically consolidates absolute power
in Russia, Putin is increasingly putting the squeeze on his country’s
neighbors in what the Kremlin refers to as “the near abroad.” Also in
his cross-hairs are nations as far away as Western Europe. Notably, he
is using threats of disruptions in Russian energy supplies and, in some
cases, actual cut-offs for strategic ends. In addition, Putin is feverishly arming America’s actual or
potential foes. Recent transactions have included: selling
anti-aircraft weapons to Iran to defend its nuclear sites against U.S.
or Israeli bombers; state-of-the-art missiles, planes, ships and other
offensive hardware to China that are greatly enhancing its
power-projection capabilities; and over 100,000 AK-47s to Hugo Chavez’s
Venezuela, the weapon of choice for his anti-American program of
subversion throughout the hemisphere. Vladimir Putin has recently launched a particularly
momentous strategic campaign. He seems determined to replay what was,
arguably, the turning point in the Cold War – the juncture when Ronald
Reagan’s carefully articulated and faithfully implemented plan for
destroying the Soviet Union began the inexorable roll-back of the “evil
empire” that Putin served and loved. The moment was 1983 when President Reagan, Margaret Thatcher
and the leaders of the Netherlands, Belgium, Italy and Germany
successfully resisted, and ultimately overcame, the most concerted
public relations/political warfare effort ever mounted by the Soviets,
their agents of influence and fellow-travelers in the West. Millions of
people took to the streets to block the deployment of hundreds of
long-range Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces (INF) ballistic and cruise
missiles in western Europe, threatening to topple the five
basing-country governments if their demands – and the Kremlin’s – were
not heeded.
This attempt by Putin’s predecessors in the Kremlin (he was
doing his bit well down the food-chain, working the problem as a KGB
agent in East Germany) to intimidate, seduce or coerce the allies into
giving up their necessary response to the USSR’s deployment of hundreds
of deadly SS-20 missiles proved to be the high-water mark for Soviet
Union. Mikhail Gorbachev later tried to save at least some face by
negotiating an INF agreement with Mr. Reagan, even though it involved a
total ban on such missiles – something the Soviets had previously,
categorically rejected.
Now, Vladimir Putin seems to want once again to threaten
America’s allies to prevent them from defending themselves. This time,
the pressure is being brought to bear on states that Mr. Reagan helped
to escape from the Soviets’ grip: Poland and the Czech Republic. They
have expressed a willingness to position respectively interceptors and
radars to protect Europe and the West against the emerging threat of
missile attack from Iran and potentially other Mideast nations. Even though such an allied missile defense system will be
incapable of stopping a concerted Russian attack, Moscow is now vowing
to abrogate the INF Treaty and attack the Poles and Czechs should they
go ahead with this deployment. Popular opposition in Europe is once
again being fomented. Mass demonstrations and other, more concerted
Kremlin-backed actions seem likely if and when the missile defense
sites’ construction goes forward. The question is: Will George Bush allow his administration to
be thwarted by the political equivalent of Putin’s murderous efforts to
silence his critics. Or will he, like President Reagan before him, make
“INF, the Sequel” have as happy an ending as the original?
By Frank J. Gaffney, Jr.
Monday, March 5, 2007
President Vladimir Putin speaks to servicemen and veterans during a
meeting to mark the upcoming national holiday, the Defenders of
Fatherland Day, in the Moscow Kremlin, Thursday, Feb. 22, 2007. The
U.S. national security adviser sought Thursday to ease Russian concerns
about American intentions, saying he did not consider a fiery speech by
Putin to have been a sign of confrontation, and reiterating
reassurances about U.S. missile defense plans. At a security conference
this month in Germany, Putin said the United States "has overstepped
its national borders in every way" and is fostering a global arms race
_ an unusually clear, comprehensive account of Kremlin complaints about
U.S. conduct. (AP Photo/Sergei Chirikov, Pool)
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